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Figure 2: Image on the left: NTT image (May 1 1998) of SN1998bw in the barred spiral galaxy ESO 184-G82. Image on the right: Pre-discovery image from 1976 (UK Schmidt Telescope, Australia) |
SN1998bw was discovered by inspection of New Technology Telescope
(NTT) images and the Digitized Sky Survey
(Galama et al. 1998). Its
position at R.A. = , Decl. =
(J2000.0), 1
6 away from the center of the
8
radius WFC error box
(Soffitta et al. 1998), is within the
BATSE/Ulysses IPN annulus and coincides with that of the transient radio
source in the WFC error box
(Kulkarni et al. 1998) to within 0
3
(see Fig. 1). It is located in an HII region in a
spiral arm of the face-on barred spiral galaxy ESO 184-G82 at a
redshift of 2550 km s-1, in the DN 1931-529 group of galaxies (see
Fig. 2).
The GRB and the supernova are spatially and temporally coincident; the
time of occurrence of the core collapse and the GRB coincide to within
days (Iwamoto et al. 1998). Any estimate of the
probability that the supernova and the GRB coincided by chance (with
respect to both time and direction) suffers from the problem of
a posteriori statistics, i.e., that the parameters of the problem tend
to be set by the observed phenomenon itself. In this case the
parameters are the size of the error box, the peak magnitude of the
supernova, and the time window within which the events can be
considered as possibly related.
Galama et al. (1998) made generous
estimates of these parameters and find the probability of catching a
SN in any of the 13 WFC GRB error boxes to be
. This
estimate includes all supernovae with peak magnitudes two magnitudes
below that of SN1998bw, and ignores the fact that SN1998bw is of a
rare type. As a result, the notion that GRB980425 and SN1998bw are
physically related becomes difficult to reject purely on the basis of
the fact that afterglows observed so far from GRBs are very different
from supernovae.
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